| Realty Commentary (scroll down to see
earlier analysis) |
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8/30/2010: the
housing numbers coming out on the 23rd and 24th of September will show a |
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continued secular collapse … lower sales,
more listings. But improvement. Financial analysts |
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will focus on "secular" aspects: a
nation of renters, rather than home buyers. It may drive |
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financial markets lower in a kneejerk double
dip, probably in October (a famous moving month). |
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October's housing numbers will deteriorate.
Much worse than the September release. |
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7/31/2010: in the 8 years we have analyzed SE Florida's housing market,
only once (2005's |
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Hurricane Wilma) have we seen a sharper
downward trend than July's year-on-year plunge |
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in home sales. This will become public
knowledge in the final week of August, 2010, with |
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the release of the Existing Homes sales. It
suggests a double dip in the housing collapse |
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and that could increase the chances of a
double dip recession in the US economy. |
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